Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.087660 1.226201 1.377354 1.554786 1.757714 1.982964 2.252493
2026-01-04 0.900716 1.089256 1.311372 1.593493 1.943904 2.366897 2.919310
2026-01-11 0.771494 0.987754 1.259044 1.626920 2.116668 2.751686 3.646260
2026-01-18 0.672294 0.902792 1.207624 1.644635 2.262198 3.114367 4.397825
2026-01-25 0.583800 0.816166 1.137550 1.620785 2.339849 3.387547 5.061587
2026-02-01 0.501455 0.725421 1.047246 1.551388 2.335898 3.534649 5.552795
2026-02-08 0.441117 0.658000 0.980549 1.504961 2.355076 3.712261 6.110902
2026-02-15 0.394717 0.605451 0.928854 1.472944 2.388997 3.912469 6.730995
2026-02-22 0.372310 0.587055 0.927040 1.518884 2.553979 4.348125 7.826037
2026-03-01 0.346616 0.560293 0.908246 1.533051 2.664504 4.701851 8.826271
2026-03-08 0.315506 0.521263 0.864735 1.498683 2.682863 4.889270 9.534473
2026-03-15 0.287681 0.485005 0.822074 1.460382 2.687921 5.050077 10.211948
2026-03-22 0.276634 0.477800 0.831059 1.521048 2.895635 5.646877 11.940727
2026-03-29 0.262982 0.464707 0.828330 1.559787 3.067057 6.200426 13.694691
2026-04-05 0.249753 0.451038 0.823052 1.592875 3.231870 6.767104 15.599932
2026-04-12 0.235845 0.434675 0.810866 1.610383 3.366104 7.288682 17.509375
2026-04-19 0.218689 0.410420 0.780846 1.587167 3.407905 7.607496 18.977414
2026-04-26 0.198573 0.378536 0.732570 1.519388 3.339836 7.657771 19.750273
2026-05-03 0.182751 0.353827 0.696494 1.474029 3.317477 7.815003 20.850468
2026-05-10 0.169790 0.333798 0.668197 1.442743 3.324258 8.045861 22.211708
2026-05-17 0.164813 0.329784 0.673134 1.487648 3.523158 8.802929 25.303199
2026-05-24 0.157512 0.320220 0.665202 1.501496 3.646062 9.379564 27.984546
2026-05-31 0.147003 0.302907 0.638707 1.467906 3.641755 9.606740 29.603355